NCAA Football Picks & Predictions
Top moneyline picks
- Ohio State to win vs. Ball State -- 98% win probability (-6666).
- Oklahoma to win vs. UTEP -- 96% win probability (-2516).
- USC to win vs. San José State -- 95% win probability (-2009).
- Rutgers to win vs. Massachusetts -- 95% win probability (-1924).
- Iowa to win vs. Northern Illinois -- 95% win probability (-1854).
Biggest market edges
- Jacksonville State vs. North Dakota State -- model favors Jacksonville State by 4.8 more points than the market does.
- UAB vs. Illinois -- model favors UAB by 4.7 more points than the market does.
- Houston vs. Oregon State -- model favors Houston by 4.5 more points than the market does.
- Boise State vs. Oregon -- model favors Boise State by 4.2 more points than the market does.
- Cincinnati vs. Boston College -- model favors Cincinnati by 4.1 more points than the market does.
Upset alerts
- Toledo to win vs. Michigan State -- model gives them 74% despite the market having them as the underdog (+360).
- California to win vs. UCLA -- model gives them 67% despite the market having them as the underdog (-108).
- Tulsa to win vs. Oklahoma State -- model gives them 65% despite the market having them as the underdog (+425).
- Sacramento State to win vs. Eastern Michigan -- model gives them 60% despite the market having them as the underdog (+250).
- Hawai'i to win vs. Stanford -- model gives them 59% despite the market having them as the underdog (+170).
Anytime touchdown scorers
- Caleb Hawkins (OKST) -- 89% chance to score a touchdown.
- Evan Dickens (BC) -- 82% chance to score a touchdown.
- Sieh Bangura (OHIO) -- 82% chance to score a touchdown.
- Amare Thomas (HOU) -- 81% chance to score a touchdown.
- Jackson Harris (LSU) -- 78% chance to score a touchdown.
Most predictable yardage props
- Jackson West (WKU) -- projected 26 rec yards, likely range 2-34.
- Jojo Stone (FIU) -- projected 40 rec yards, likely range 4-55.
- Carson Brown (HAW) -- projected 38 rec yards, likely range 2-54.
- Chris Reed (SHSU) -- projected 58 rec yards, likely range 23-82.
- Junior Vandeross III (TOL) -- projected 82 rec yards, likely range 46-116.
See how these predictions are calculated and how accurate the model has been.