Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers -- NFL Week 4, October 5, 2026.
Model prediction: Detroit Lions favored by 7.4, projected total 59.8 points, 30.9% win probability for Carolina Panthers.
Prediction last recalculated September 15, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -24.3, 25th percentile: -16.2, 50th percentile: -7.2, 75th percentile: +1.8, 90th percentile: +9.7. Total points 10th percentile: 42.5, 25th percentile: 50.6, 50th percentile: 59.9, 75th percentile: 69.1, 90th percentile: 77.5.
CAR predicted starting offense vs DET's Base 4-3 D: WR Tetairoa McMillan, WR Jalen Coker, LT Rasheed Walker, LG Damien Lewis, C Luke Fortner, RG Robert Hunt, RT Monroe Freeling, WR Xavier Legette, QB Bryce Young, TE Tommy Tremble, TE Mitchell Evans, RB Chuba Hubbard.
DET predicted starting offense vs CAR's Base 3-4 D: WR Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR Jameson Williams, LT Penei Sewell, LG Christian Mahogany, C Juice Scruggs, RG Tate Ratledge, WR Isaac TeSlaa, QB Jared Goff, TE Sam LaPorta, TE Brock Wright, RB Jahmyr Gibbs.
CAR's offensive depth chart isn't fully set yet (12/13 slots known). DET's offensive depth chart isn't fully set yet (11/13 slots known). CAR leans pass-heavy (68% of recent snaps) against DET's Base 4-3 D.
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