Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks -- NFL Week 4, October 4, 2026.
Model prediction: Seattle Seahawks favored by 14.6, projected total 32.0 points, 82.9% win probability for Seattle Seahawks.
Prediction last recalculated September 15, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -2.7, 25th percentile: +5.6, 50th percentile: +14.7, 75th percentile: +23.5, 90th percentile: +31.8. Total points 10th percentile: 15.2, 25th percentile: 23.1, 50th percentile: 32.3, 75th percentile: 41.6, 90th percentile: 50.2.
SEA predicted starting offense vs LAC's Base 3-4 D: WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR Rashid Shaheed, LT Charles Cross, LG Grey Zabel, C Jalen Sundell, RG Anthony Bradford, RT Abraham Lucas, WR Cooper Kupp, QB Sam Darnold, TE A.J. Barner, TE Eric Saubert, RB Jadarian Price, FB Brady Russell.
LAC predicted starting offense vs SEA's Base 3-4 D: WR Ladd McConkey, WR Quentin Johnston, LT Rashawn Slater, LG Kayode Awosika, C Jake Slaughter, RG Cole Strange, RT Joe Alt, WR Tre Harris, QB Justin Herbert, TE Charlie Kolar, TE David Njoku, RB Omarion Hampton, FB Alec Ingold.
LAC leans pass-heavy (71% of recent snaps) against SEA's Base 3-4 D.
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