Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings -- NFL Week 4, October 4, 2026.
Model prediction: Minnesota Vikings favored by 10.9, projected total 34.3 points, 76.5% win probability for Minnesota Vikings.
Prediction last recalculated September 15, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -6.3, 25th percentile: +1.8, 50th percentile: +10.9, 75th percentile: +20.1, 90th percentile: +28.3. Total points 10th percentile: 17.0, 25th percentile: 25.4, 50th percentile: 34.3, 75th percentile: 43.7, 90th percentile: 52.1.
MIN predicted starting offense vs MIA's Base 4-3 D: WR Justin Jefferson, WR Jordan Addison, LT Christian Darrisaw, LG Donovan Jackson, C Blake Brandel, RG Will Fries, RT Brian O'Neill, WR Jauan Jennings, QB Kyler Murray, TE T.J. Hockenson, TE Josh Oliver, RB Aaron Jones, FB Max Bredeson.
MIA predicted starting offense vs MIN's Base 3-4 D: WR Malik Washington, WR Caleb Douglas, LT Patrick Paul, LG Kadyn Proctor, C Aaron Brewer, RG Jonah Savaiinaea, RT Austin Jackson, WR Chris Bell, QB Malik Willis, TE Greg Dulcich, TE Will Kacmarek, RB Devon Achane, FB D.J. Herman.
MIA leans pass-heavy (73% of recent snaps) against MIN's Base 3-4 D.
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