Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles -- NFL Week 4, October 4, 2026.
Model prediction: Philadelphia Eagles favored by 1.6, projected total 47.7 points, 54.4% win probability for Philadelphia Eagles.
Prediction last recalculated September 15, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -15.3, 25th percentile: -7.5, 50th percentile: +1.4, 75th percentile: +10.3, 90th percentile: +18.3. Total points 10th percentile: 30.2, 25th percentile: 38.3, 50th percentile: 47.7, 75th percentile: 57.5, 90th percentile: 65.4.
PHI predicted starting offense vs LA's Base 3-4 D: WR DeVonta Smith, WR Dontayvion Wicks, LT Jordan Mailata, LG Landon Dickerson, C Cam Jurgens, RG Tyler Steen, RT Lane Johnson, WR Makai Lemon, QB Jalen Hurts, TE Dallas Goedert, TE Johnny Mundt, RB Saquon Barkley, FB Carson Steele.
LA predicted starting offense vs PHI's Base 3-4 D: WR Puka Nacua, WR Davante Adams, LT Alaric Jackson, LG Steve Avila, C Coleman Shelton, RG Kevin Dotson, RT Warren McClendon, WR Jordan Whittington, QB Matthew Stafford, TE Colby Parkinson, TE Tyler Higbee, RB Kyren Williams.
PHI's starting SLB (Jonathan Greenard) is injury-flagged. LA's offensive depth chart isn't fully set yet (12/13 slots known). PHI leans pass-heavy (64% of recent snaps) against LA's Base 3-4 D.
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