New York Jets at Chicago Bears -- NFL Week 4, October 4, 2026.
Model prediction: Chicago Bears favored by 14.2, projected total 53.8 points, 82.3% win probability for Chicago Bears.
Prediction last recalculated September 15, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -3.3, 25th percentile: +4.8, 50th percentile: +14.1, 75th percentile: +23.1, 90th percentile: +31.4. Total points 10th percentile: 36.2, 25th percentile: 44.9, 50th percentile: 53.7, 75th percentile: 62.9, 90th percentile: 71.3.
CHI predicted starting offense vs NYJ's Base 4-3 D: WR Rome Odunze, WR Luther Burden, LT Braxton Jones, LG Joe Thuney, C Garrett Bradbury, RG Jonah Jackson, RT Darnell Wright, WR Kalif Raymond, QB Caleb Williams, TE Colston Loveland, TE Cole Kmet, RB D'Andre Swift.
NYJ predicted starting offense vs CHI's Base 4-3 D: WR Garrett Wilson, WR Adonai Mitchell, LT Olu Fashanu, LG Dylan Parham, C Josh Myers, RG Joe Tippmann, RT Armand Membou, WR Omar Cooper, QB Geno Smith, TE Mason Taylor, TE Kenyon Sadiq, RB Breece Hall, FB Andrew Beck.
CHI's starting WR (Rome Odunze) is injury-flagged. CHI's offensive depth chart isn't fully set yet (12/13 slots known).
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