Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens -- NFL Week 4, October 4, 2026.
Model prediction: Baltimore Ravens favored by 16.6, projected total 50.3 points, 85.8% win probability for Baltimore Ravens.
Prediction last recalculated September 15, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -0.4, 25th percentile: +7.8, 50th percentile: +16.6, 75th percentile: +25.7, 90th percentile: +33.9. Total points 10th percentile: 32.7, 25th percentile: 40.7, 50th percentile: 50.2, 75th percentile: 59.6, 90th percentile: 67.8.
BAL predicted starting offense vs TEN's Base 4-3 D: WR Zay Flowers, WR Rashod Bateman, LT Ronnie Stanley, LG John Simpson, C Jovaughn Gwyn, RG Olaivavega Ioane, RT Roger Rosengarten, WR Ja'Kobi Lane, QB Lamar Jackson, TE Mark Andrews, TE Durham Smythe, RB Derrick Henry, FB Lucas Scott.
TEN predicted starting offense vs BAL's Base 3-4 D: WR Carnell Tate, WR Wan'Dale Robinson, LT Dan Moore, LG Peter Skoronski, C Austin Schlottmann, RG Fernando Carmona, RT J.C. Latham, WR Calvin Ridley, QB Cameron Ward, TE Gunnar Helm, TE Daniel Bellinger, RB Tony Pollard.
BAL's starting WR (Zay Flowers) is injury-flagged. BAL's starting RILB (Teddye Buchanan) is injury-flagged. TEN's offensive depth chart isn't fully set yet (12/13 slots known). TEN leans pass-heavy (80% of recent snaps) against BAL's Base 3-4 D.
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