Las Vegas Raiders at New Orleans Saints -- NFL Week 3, September 27, 2026.
Model prediction: New Orleans Saints favored by 8.1, projected total 33.9 points, 70.6% win probability for New Orleans Saints.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC.
Market spread: New Orleans Saints -3.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -9.5, 25th percentile: -1.3, 50th percentile: +7.8, 75th percentile: +16.9, 90th percentile: +25.0. Total points 10th percentile: 16.2, 25th percentile: 24.9, 50th percentile: 34.2, 75th percentile: 43.1, 90th percentile: 51.5.
NO predicted starting offense vs LV's Base 3-4 D: WR Chris Olave, WR Jordyn Tyson, LT Kelvin Banks, LG David Edwards, C Erik McCoy, RG Cesar Ruiz, RT Taliese Fuaga, WR Devaughn Vele, QB Tyler Shough, TE Juwan Johnson, TE Noah Fant, RB Travis Etienne.
LV predicted starting offense vs NO's Base 3-4 D: WR Tre Tucker, WR Jalen Nailor, LT Kolton Miller, LG Spencer Burford, C Tyler Linderbaum, RG Jackson Powers-Johnson, RT Delmar Glaze, WR Jack Bech, QB Kirk Cousins, TE Brock Bowers, TE Michael Mayer, RB Ashton Jeanty, FB Connor Heyward.
NO's starting WR (Jordyn Tyson) is injury-flagged. NO's offensive depth chart isn't fully set yet (12/13 slots known). NO leans pass-heavy (66% of recent snaps) against LV's Base 3-4 D.
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