Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers -- NFL Week 3, September 27, 2026.
Model prediction: Minnesota Vikings favored by 2.1, projected total 33.0 points, 44.4% win probability for Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC.
Market spread: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -18.9, 25th percentile: -11.0, 50th percentile: -2.2, 75th percentile: +6.9, 90th percentile: +15.1. Total points 10th percentile: 15.6, 25th percentile: 24.0, 50th percentile: 33.0, 75th percentile: 42.2, 90th percentile: 50.9.
TB predicted starting offense vs MIN's Base 3-4 D: WR Emeka Egbuka, WR Chris Godwin, LT Tristan Wirfs, LG Ben Bredeson, C Graham Barton, RG Cody Mauch, RT Luke Goedeke, WR Jalen McMillan, QB Baker Mayfield, TE Cade Otton, TE Payne Durham, RB Bucky Irving.
MIN predicted starting offense vs TB's Base 3-4 D: WR Justin Jefferson, WR Jordan Addison, LT Christian Darrisaw, LG Donovan Jackson, C Blake Brandel, RG Will Fries, RT Brian O'Neill, WR Jauan Jennings, QB Kyler Murray, TE T.J. Hockenson, TE Josh Oliver, RB Aaron Jones, FB Max Bredeson.
TB's offensive depth chart isn't fully set yet (12/13 slots known).
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