Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers -- NFL Week 3, September 27, 2026.
Model prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers favored by 3.3, projected total 45.4 points, 59.0% win probability for Pittsburgh Steelers.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC.
Market spread: Pittsburgh Steelers +1.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -14.1, 25th percentile: -5.9, 50th percentile: +3.2, 75th percentile: +12.2, 90th percentile: +20.1. Total points 10th percentile: 28.0, 25th percentile: 36.2, 50th percentile: 45.2, 75th percentile: 54.4, 90th percentile: 62.8.
PIT predicted starting offense vs CIN's Base 4-3 D: WR DK Metcalf, WR Michael Pittman, LT Troy Fautanu, LG Mason McCormick, C Zach Frazier, RG Spencer Anderson, RT Dylan Cook, WR Roman Wilson, QB Aaron Rodgers, TE Pat Freiermuth, TE Darnell Washington, RB Jaylen Warren, FB Riley Nowakowski.
CIN predicted starting offense vs PIT's Base 3-4 D: WR Ja'Marr Chase, WR Tee Higgins, LT Orlando Brown, LG Dylan Fairchild, C Ted Karras, RG Dalton Risner, RT Amarius Mims, WR Andrei Iosivas, QB Joe Burrow, TE Mike Gesicki, TE Drew Sample, RB Chase Brown.
CIN's offensive depth chart isn't fully set yet (12/13 slots known). PIT leans pass-heavy (68% of recent snaps) against CIN's Base 4-3 D. CIN leans pass-heavy (63% of recent snaps) against PIT's Base 3-4 D.
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