Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers -- NFL Week 3, September 25, 2026.
Model prediction: Green Bay Packers favored by 6.6, projected total 47.8 points, 67.2% win probability for Green Bay Packers.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC.
Market spread: Green Bay Packers -7.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -10.7, 25th percentile: -2.4, 50th percentile: +6.7, 75th percentile: +15.6, 90th percentile: +24.1. Total points 10th percentile: 30.5, 25th percentile: 38.7, 50th percentile: 47.8, 75th percentile: 56.8, 90th percentile: 65.2.
GB predicted starting offense vs ATL's Base 3-4 D: WR Christian Watson, WR Jayden Reed, LT Jordan Morgan, LG Aaron Banks, C Sean Rhyan, RG Jacob Monk, RT Zach Tom, WR Matthew Golden, QB Jordan Love, TE Tucker Kraft, TE Jonnu Smith, RB Josh Jacobs.
ATL predicted starting offense vs GB's Base 3-4 D: WR Drake London, WR Jahan Dotson, LT Jake Matthews, LG Matthew Bergeron, C Ryan Neuzil, RG Chris Lindstrom, RT Jawaan Taylor, WR Olamide Zaccheaus, QB Tua Tagovailoa, TE Kyle Pitts, TE Charlie Woerner, RB Bijan Robinson.
GB's offensive depth chart isn't fully set yet (12/13 slots known). ATL's offensive depth chart isn't fully set yet (12/13 slots known). GB leans pass-heavy (68% of recent snaps) against ATL's Base 3-4 D. ATL leans pass-heavy (62% of recent snaps) against GB's Base 3-4 D.
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