Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys -- NFL Week 2, September 20, 2026.
Model prediction: Dallas Cowboys favored by 1.7, projected total 55.1 points, 54.5% win probability for Dallas Cowboys.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC.
Market spread: Dallas Cowboys -4.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -15.2, 25th percentile: -7.2, 50th percentile: +1.7, 75th percentile: +10.6, 90th percentile: +18.5. Total points 10th percentile: 37.7, 25th percentile: 45.9, 50th percentile: 55.0, 75th percentile: 64.3, 90th percentile: 72.5.
DAL predicted starting offense vs WAS's Base 3-4 D: WR CeeDee Lamb, WR George Pickens, LT Tyler Guyton, LG Tyler Smith, C Cooper Beebe, RG Tyler Booker, RT Terence Steele, WR Ryan Flournoy, QB Dak Prescott, TE Jake Ferguson, TE Brevyn Spann-Ford, RB Javonte Williams, FB Hunter Luepke.
WAS predicted starting offense vs DAL's Base 3-4 D: WR Terry McLaurin, WR Stefon Diggs, LT Brandon Coleman, LG Chris Paul, C Nick Allegretti, RG Samuel Cosmi, RT Josh Conerly, WR Antonio Williams, QB Jayden Daniels, TE Chigoziem Okonkwo, TE John Bates, RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt.
WAS's offensive depth chart isn't fully set yet (12/13 slots known).
Read the full plain-text report for this game, including every player prop projection.
See how this prediction is calculated and how accurate the model has been.