Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos -- NFL Week 2, September 20, 2026.
Model prediction: Denver Broncos favored by 5.5, projected total 45.0 points, 64.5% win probability for Denver Broncos.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC.
Market spread: Denver Broncos -2.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -11.3, 25th percentile: -3.4, 50th percentile: +5.5, 75th percentile: +14.6, 90th percentile: +22.7. Total points 10th percentile: 27.7, 25th percentile: 35.9, 50th percentile: 45.0, 75th percentile: 54.0, 90th percentile: 62.5.
DEN predicted starting offense vs JAX's Base 4-3 D: WR Courtland Sutton, WR Jaylen Waddle, LT Garett Bolles, LG Ben Powers, C Luke Wattenberg, RG Quinn Meinerz, RT Mike McGlinchey, WR Troy Franklin, QB Bo Nix, TE Evan Engram, TE Adam Trautman, RB J.K. Dobbins, FB Adam Prentice.
JAX predicted starting offense vs DEN's Base 3-4 D: WR Brian Thomas, WR Parker Washington, LT Anton Harrison, LG Emmanuel Pregnon, C Robert Hainsey, RG Ezra Cleveland, RT Walker Little, WR Jakobi Meyers, QB Trevor Lawrence, TE Brenton Strange, TE Nate Boerkircher, RB Bhayshul Tuten.
JAX's offensive depth chart isn't fully set yet (12/13 slots known). DEN leans pass-heavy (64% of recent snaps) against JAX's Base 4-3 D. JAX leans pass-heavy (62% of recent snaps) against DEN's Base 3-4 D.
Read the full plain-text report for this game, including every player prop projection.
See how this prediction is calculated and how accurate the model has been.