Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants -- NFL Week 1, September 14, 2026.
Model prediction: Dallas Cowboys favored by 0.4, projected total 56.1 points, 48.8% win probability for New York Giants.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC.
Market spread: New York Giants +2.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -17.8, 25th percentile: -9.7, 50th percentile: -0.5, 75th percentile: +8.3, 90th percentile: +16.6. Total points 10th percentile: 38.5, 25th percentile: 46.8, 50th percentile: 56.2, 75th percentile: 65.5, 90th percentile: 73.4.
NYG predicted starting offense vs DAL's Base 3-4 D: WR Malik Nabers, WR Darius Slayton, LT Andrew Thomas, LG Jon Runyan, C John Michael Schmitz, RG Francis Mauigoa, RT Jermaine Eluemunor, WR Darnell Mooney, QB Jaxson Dart, TE Isaiah Likely, TE Theo Johnson, RB Cam Skattebo, FB Patrick Ricard.
DAL predicted starting offense vs NYG's Base 3-4 D: WR CeeDee Lamb, WR George Pickens, LT Tyler Guyton, LG Tyler Smith, C Cooper Beebe, RG Tyler Booker, RT Terence Steele, WR Ryan Flournoy, QB Dak Prescott, TE Jake Ferguson, TE Brevyn Spann-Ford, RB Javonte Williams, FB Hunter Luepke.
NYG leans pass-heavy (60% of recent snaps) against DAL's Base 3-4 D.
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