Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles -- NFL Week 1, September 13, 2026.
Model prediction: Philadelphia Eagles favored by 8.2, projected total 39.5 points, 70.8% win probability for Philadelphia Eagles.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC.
Market spread: Philadelphia Eagles -4.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -8.9, 25th percentile: -1.0, 50th percentile: +8.3, 75th percentile: +17.3, 90th percentile: +25.5. Total points 10th percentile: 22.3, 25th percentile: 30.5, 50th percentile: 39.8, 75th percentile: 49.0, 90th percentile: 57.3.
PHI predicted starting offense vs WAS's Base 3-4 D: WR DeVonta Smith, WR Dontayvion Wicks, LT Jordan Mailata, LG Landon Dickerson, C Cam Jurgens, RG Tyler Steen, RT Lane Johnson, WR Makai Lemon, QB Jalen Hurts, TE Dallas Goedert, TE Johnny Mundt, RB Saquon Barkley, FB Carson Steele.
WAS predicted starting offense vs PHI's Base 3-4 D: WR Terry McLaurin, WR Stefon Diggs, LT Brandon Coleman, LG Chris Paul, C Nick Allegretti, RG Samuel Cosmi, RT Josh Conerly, WR Antonio Williams, QB Jayden Daniels, TE Chigoziem Okonkwo, TE John Bates, RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt.
WAS's offensive depth chart isn't fully set yet (12/13 slots known).
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