Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings -- NFL Week 1, September 13, 2026.
Model prediction: Minnesota Vikings favored by 2.8, projected total 33.5 points, 57.5% win probability for Minnesota Vikings.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC.
Market spread: Minnesota Vikings -1.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -14.5, 25th percentile: -6.2, 50th percentile: +2.8, 75th percentile: +11.9, 90th percentile: +20.2. Total points 10th percentile: 15.8, 25th percentile: 24.0, 50th percentile: 33.3, 75th percentile: 42.4, 90th percentile: 50.7.
MIN predicted starting offense vs GB's Base 3-4 D: WR Justin Jefferson, WR Jordan Addison, LT Christian Darrisaw, LG Donovan Jackson, C Blake Brandel, RG Will Fries, RT Brian O'Neill, WR Jauan Jennings, QB Kyler Murray, TE T.J. Hockenson, TE Josh Oliver, RB Aaron Jones, FB Max Bredeson.
GB predicted starting offense vs MIN's Base 3-4 D: WR Christian Watson, WR Jayden Reed, LT Jordan Morgan, LG Aaron Banks, C Sean Rhyan, RG Jacob Monk, RT Zach Tom, WR Matthew Golden, QB Jordan Love, TE Tucker Kraft, TE Jonnu Smith, RB Josh Jacobs.
GB's offensive depth chart isn't fully set yet (12/13 slots known). GB leans pass-heavy (68% of recent snaps) against MIN's Base 3-4 D.
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