New York Jets at Tennessee Titans -- NFL Week 1, September 13, 2026.
Model prediction: Tennessee Titans favored by 2.8, projected total 43.2 points, 57.5% win probability for Tennessee Titans.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC.
Market spread: Tennessee Titans -3.0.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -14.0, 25th percentile: -5.9, 50th percentile: +2.9, 75th percentile: +12.0, 90th percentile: +20.3. Total points 10th percentile: 25.4, 25th percentile: 33.9, 50th percentile: 43.1, 75th percentile: 52.3, 90th percentile: 60.8.
TEN predicted starting offense vs NYJ's Base 4-3 D: WR Carnell Tate, WR Wan'Dale Robinson, LT Dan Moore, LG Peter Skoronski, C Austin Schlottmann, RG Fernando Carmona, RT J.C. Latham, WR Calvin Ridley, QB Cameron Ward, TE Gunnar Helm, TE Daniel Bellinger, RB Tony Pollard.
NYJ predicted starting offense vs TEN's Base 4-3 D: WR Garrett Wilson, WR Adonai Mitchell, LT Olu Fashanu, LG Dylan Parham, C Josh Myers, RG Joe Tippmann, RT Armand Membou, WR Omar Cooper, QB Geno Smith, TE Mason Taylor, TE Kenyon Sadiq, RB Breece Hall, FB Andrew Beck.
TEN's offensive depth chart isn't fully set yet (12/13 slots known). NYJ's starting LDT (T'Vondre Sweat) is injury-flagged. TEN leans pass-heavy (67% of recent snaps) against NYJ's Base 4-3 D.
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