Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts

Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts -- NFL Week 1, September 13, 2026.

Model prediction: Baltimore Ravens favored by 2.9, projected total 50.1 points, 42.2% win probability for Indianapolis Colts.

Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC.

Market spread: Indianapolis Colts +3.5.

Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -19.7, 25th percentile: -11.5, 50th percentile: -2.8, 75th percentile: +6.2, 90th percentile: +14.0. Total points 10th percentile: 32.9, 25th percentile: 41.2, 50th percentile: 50.1, 75th percentile: 59.3, 90th percentile: 67.5.

IND predicted starting offense vs BAL's Base 3-4 D: WR Alec Pierce, WR Josh Downs, LT Bernhard Raimann, LG Quenton Nelson, C Tanor Bortolini, RG Matt Goncalves, RT Jalen Travis, WR Keenan Allen, QB Daniel Jones, TE Tyler Warren, TE Mo Alie-Cox, RB Jonathan Taylor.

BAL predicted starting offense vs IND's Base 4-3 D: WR Zay Flowers, WR Rashod Bateman, LT Ronnie Stanley, LG John Simpson, C Ethan Pocic, RG Olaivavega Ioane, RT Roger Rosengarten, WR Ja'Kobi Lane, QB Lamar Jackson, TE Mark Andrews, TE Durham Smythe, RB Derrick Henry, FB Lucas Scott.

IND's offensive depth chart isn't fully set yet (12/13 slots known).

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