Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals -- NFL Week 1, September 13, 2026.
Model prediction: Cincinnati Bengals favored by 2.4, projected total 48.5 points, 56.4% win probability for Cincinnati Bengals.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC.
Market spread: Cincinnati Bengals -3.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -15.0, 25th percentile: -6.7, 50th percentile: +2.5, 75th percentile: +11.6, 90th percentile: +19.8. Total points 10th percentile: 31.4, 25th percentile: 39.4, 50th percentile: 48.5, 75th percentile: 57.8, 90th percentile: 65.9.
CIN predicted starting offense vs TB's Base 3-4 D: WR Ja'Marr Chase, WR Tee Higgins, LT Orlando Brown, LG Dylan Fairchild, C Ted Karras, RG Dalton Risner, RT Amarius Mims, WR Andrei Iosivas, QB Joe Burrow, TE Mike Gesicki, TE Drew Sample, RB Chase Brown.
TB predicted starting offense vs CIN's Base 4-3 D: WR Emeka Egbuka, WR Chris Godwin, LT Tristan Wirfs, LG Ben Bredeson, C Graham Barton, RG Cody Mauch, RT Luke Goedeke, WR Jalen McMillan, QB Baker Mayfield, TE Cade Otton, TE Payne Durham, RB Bucky Irving.
CIN's offensive depth chart isn't fully set yet (12/13 slots known). TB's offensive depth chart isn't fully set yet (12/13 slots known). CIN leans pass-heavy (63% of recent snaps) against TB's Base 3-4 D.
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