Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers -- NFL Week 1, September 13, 2026.
Model prediction: Chicago Bears favored by 5.9, projected total 45.2 points, 34.6% win probability for Carolina Panthers.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC.
Market spread: Carolina Panthers +2.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -23.5, 25th percentile: -15.0, 50th percentile: -5.9, 75th percentile: +3.2, 90th percentile: +11.3. Total points 10th percentile: 27.5, 25th percentile: 36.0, 50th percentile: 45.2, 75th percentile: 54.3, 90th percentile: 62.5.
CAR predicted starting offense vs CHI's Base 4-3 D: WR Tetairoa McMillan, WR Jalen Coker, LT Ikem Ekwonu, LG Damien Lewis, C Luke Fortner, RG Robert Hunt, RT Taylor Moton, WR Xavier Legette, QB Bryce Young, TE Tommy Tremble, TE Darren Waller, RB Chuba Hubbard.
CHI predicted starting offense vs CAR's Base 3-4 D: WR Rome Odunze, WR Luther Burden, LT Braxton Jones, LG Joe Thuney, C Garrett Bradbury, RG Jonah Jackson, RT Darnell Wright, WR Kalif Raymond, QB Caleb Williams, TE Colston Loveland, TE Cole Kmet, RB D'Andre Swift.
CAR's offensive depth chart isn't fully set yet (12/13 slots known). CHI's offensive depth chart isn't fully set yet (12/13 slots known). CAR leans pass-heavy (71% of recent snaps) against CHI's Base 4-3 D.
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