Fresno State at Washington State -- NCAA Week 5, October 4, 2026.
Model prediction: Fresno State favored by 0.7, projected total 25.9 points, 48.4% win probability for Washington State.
Prediction last recalculated September 13, 2026 at 10:03 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -22.7, 25th percentile: -12.2, 50th percentile: -1.1, 75th percentile: +10.9, 90th percentile: +21.2. Total points 10th percentile: 4.2, 25th percentile: 14.6, 50th percentile: 26.2, 75th percentile: 37.2, 90th percentile: 47.1.
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