Indiana at Rutgers -- NCAA Week 5, October 4, 2026.
Model prediction: Indiana favored by 30.8, projected total 61.5 points, 5.3% win probability for Rutgers.
Prediction last recalculated September 13, 2026 at 10:03 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -52.7, 25th percentile: -42.5, 50th percentile: -30.9, 75th percentile: -19.1, 90th percentile: -8.4. Total points 10th percentile: 40.1, 25th percentile: 50.4, 50th percentile: 61.5, 75th percentile: 72.9, 90th percentile: 83.2.
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