Oregon State at Colorado State -- NCAA Week 5, October 3, 2026.
Model prediction: Colorado State favored by 12.7, projected total 42.3 points, 76.6% win probability for Colorado State.
Prediction last recalculated September 13, 2026 at 10:03 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -10.1, 25th percentile: +0.7, 50th percentile: +12.7, 75th percentile: +24.4, 90th percentile: +34.9. Total points 10th percentile: 20.5, 25th percentile: 30.9, 50th percentile: 41.9, 75th percentile: 53.3, 90th percentile: 63.6.
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