Syracuse at UConn -- NCAA Week 5, October 3, 2026.
Model prediction: UConn favored by 5.9, projected total 59.6 points, 63.5% win probability for UConn.
Prediction last recalculated September 13, 2026 at 10:03 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -16.5, 25th percentile: -6.0, 50th percentile: +5.9, 75th percentile: +17.6, 90th percentile: +28.1. Total points 10th percentile: 38.5, 25th percentile: 48.7, 50th percentile: 59.7, 75th percentile: 71.4, 90th percentile: 81.7.
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