Florida at Missouri -- NCAA Week 5, October 3, 2026.
Model prediction: Missouri favored by 11.2, projected total 45.0 points, 74.1% win probability for Missouri.
Prediction last recalculated September 13, 2026 at 10:03 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -10.4, 25th percentile: -0.1, 50th percentile: +11.9, 75th percentile: +23.4, 90th percentile: +33.8. Total points 10th percentile: 23.7, 25th percentile: 33.7, 50th percentile: 45.1, 75th percentile: 56.3, 90th percentile: 66.8.
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