BYU at TCU -- NCAA Week 5, October 3, 2026.
Model prediction: BYU favored by 4.3, projected total 46.4 points, 40.1% win probability for TCU.
Prediction last recalculated September 13, 2026 at 10:03 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -26.7, 25th percentile: -16.5, 50th percentile: -4.7, 75th percentile: +7.1, 90th percentile: +18.0. Total points 10th percentile: 24.9, 25th percentile: 34.9, 50th percentile: 46.6, 75th percentile: 58.0, 90th percentile: 68.1.
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