Ohio State at Iowa -- NCAA Week 5, October 3, 2026.
Model prediction: Ohio State favored by 4.8, projected total 32.1 points, 38.9% win probability for Iowa.
Prediction last recalculated September 13, 2026 at 10:03 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -26.4, 25th percentile: -16.0, 50th percentile: -4.8, 75th percentile: +6.7, 90th percentile: +17.1. Total points 10th percentile: 11.1, 25th percentile: 21.1, 50th percentile: 32.6, 75th percentile: 43.8, 90th percentile: 53.6.
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