Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts -- NCAA Week 5, October 3, 2026.
Model prediction: Eastern Michigan favored by 3.2, projected total 47.6 points, 42.6% win probability for Massachusetts.
Prediction last recalculated September 13, 2026 at 10:03 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -25.0, 25th percentile: -14.7, 50th percentile: -3.1, 75th percentile: +8.3, 90th percentile: +18.7. Total points 10th percentile: 25.9, 25th percentile: 36.3, 50th percentile: 47.6, 75th percentile: 58.7, 90th percentile: 68.8.
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