Old Dominion at Georgia State -- NCAA Week 5, October 3, 2026.
Model prediction: Old Dominion favored by 6.2, projected total 54.4 points, 35.8% win probability for Georgia State.
Prediction last recalculated September 13, 2026 at 10:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -28.1, 25th percentile: -17.8, 50th percentile: -6.2, 75th percentile: +5.5, 90th percentile: +16.1. Total points 10th percentile: 33.1, 25th percentile: 43.1, 50th percentile: 54.5, 75th percentile: 65.6, 90th percentile: 75.8.
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