Ohio at Kent State -- NCAA Week 5, October 3, 2026.
Model prediction: Ohio favored by 13.0, projected total 49.4 points, 22.9% win probability for Kent State.
Prediction last recalculated September 13, 2026 at 10:03 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -35.3, 25th percentile: -24.9, 50th percentile: -13.0, 75th percentile: -1.4, 90th percentile: +9.3. Total points 10th percentile: 28.1, 25th percentile: 38.1, 50th percentile: 49.5, 75th percentile: 60.5, 90th percentile: 70.6.
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