Texas Tech at Colorado -- NCAA Week 5, October 3, 2026.
Model prediction: Texas Tech favored by 17.5, projected total 51.7 points, 16.2% win probability for Colorado.
Prediction last recalculated September 13, 2026 at 10:03 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -39.3, 25th percentile: -28.9, 50th percentile: -17.7, 75th percentile: -5.9, 90th percentile: +4.7. Total points 10th percentile: 30.0, 25th percentile: 40.5, 50th percentile: 51.8, 75th percentile: 62.9, 90th percentile: 73.2.
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