Temple at South Florida -- NCAA Week 5, October 3, 2026.
Model prediction: South Florida favored by 19.5, projected total 63.6 points, 86.1% win probability for South Florida.
Prediction last recalculated September 13, 2026 at 10:03 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -2.7, 25th percentile: +7.9, 50th percentile: +19.4, 75th percentile: +31.0, 90th percentile: +41.9. Total points 10th percentile: 41.9, 25th percentile: 52.1, 50th percentile: 63.4, 75th percentile: 74.8, 90th percentile: 85.0.
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