UL Monroe at South Alabama -- NCAA Week 5, October 3, 2026.
Model prediction: South Alabama favored by 16.6, projected total 55.8 points, 82.5% win probability for South Alabama.
Prediction last recalculated September 13, 2026 at 10:03 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -5.7, 25th percentile: +5.2, 50th percentile: +16.8, 75th percentile: +28.3, 90th percentile: +39.0. Total points 10th percentile: 34.7, 25th percentile: 44.9, 50th percentile: 56.1, 75th percentile: 67.3, 90th percentile: 77.3.
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