Western Michigan at Buffalo -- NCAA Week 5, October 3, 2026.
Model prediction: Western Michigan favored by 7.1, projected total 40.8 points, 34.1% win probability for Buffalo.
Prediction last recalculated September 13, 2026 at 10:03 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -29.3, 25th percentile: -18.6, 50th percentile: -7.1, 75th percentile: +4.8, 90th percentile: +14.9. Total points 10th percentile: 19.2, 25th percentile: 29.8, 50th percentile: 41.0, 75th percentile: 52.1, 90th percentile: 62.0.
Read the full plain-text report for this game, including every player prop projection.
See how this prediction is calculated and how accurate the model has been.