UTSA at Rice -- NCAA Week 5, October 3, 2026.
Model prediction: UTSA favored by 13.6, projected total 78.0 points, 21.9% win probability for Rice.
Prediction last recalculated September 13, 2026 at 10:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -36.1, 25th percentile: -25.5, 50th percentile: -13.6, 75th percentile: -1.8, 90th percentile: +8.5. Total points 10th percentile: 56.1, 25th percentile: 66.4, 50th percentile: 77.9, 75th percentile: 89.2, 90th percentile: 99.0.
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