UTEP at New Mexico -- NCAA Week 5, October 3, 2026.
Model prediction: New Mexico favored by 25.4, projected total 50.6 points, 91.5% win probability for New Mexico.
Prediction last recalculated September 13, 2026 at 10:03 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: +2.8, 25th percentile: +13.8, 50th percentile: +25.4, 75th percentile: +36.9, 90th percentile: +47.3. Total points 10th percentile: 29.2, 25th percentile: 39.2, 50th percentile: 50.6, 75th percentile: 62.2, 90th percentile: 72.2.
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