Middle Tennessee at Kansas -- NCAA Week 5, October 3, 2026.
Model prediction: Kansas favored by 15.1, projected total 58.1 points, 80.4% win probability for Kansas.
Prediction last recalculated September 13, 2026 at 10:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -7.4, 25th percentile: +2.8, 50th percentile: +15.2, 75th percentile: +27.4, 90th percentile: +38.0. Total points 10th percentile: 36.4, 25th percentile: 46.6, 50th percentile: 58.0, 75th percentile: 69.5, 90th percentile: 79.9.
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