Auburn at Tennessee -- NCAA Week 5, October 3, 2026.
Model prediction: Tennessee favored by 19.0, projected total 52.4 points, 85.6% win probability for Tennessee.
Prediction last recalculated September 13, 2026 at 10:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -3.0, 25th percentile: +7.5, 50th percentile: +19.0, 75th percentile: +31.1, 90th percentile: +41.4. Total points 10th percentile: 30.4, 25th percentile: 41.0, 50th percentile: 52.1, 75th percentile: 63.4, 90th percentile: 73.5.
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