Baylor at Arizona State -- NCAA Week 5, October 3, 2026.
Model prediction: Arizona State favored by 10.8, projected total 58.3 points, 73.3% win probability for Arizona State.
Prediction last recalculated September 13, 2026 at 10:03 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -11.6, 25th percentile: -1.0, 50th percentile: +10.9, 75th percentile: +22.6, 90th percentile: +33.4. Total points 10th percentile: 36.7, 25th percentile: 47.2, 50th percentile: 58.5, 75th percentile: 69.7, 90th percentile: 79.6.
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