Boston College at SMU -- NCAA Week 5, October 3, 2026.
Model prediction: SMU favored by 27.1, projected total 53.0 points, 92.6% win probability for SMU.
Prediction last recalculated September 13, 2026 at 10:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: +5.1, 25th percentile: +15.5, 50th percentile: +27.2, 75th percentile: +39.3, 90th percentile: +49.9. Total points 10th percentile: 31.8, 25th percentile: 41.8, 50th percentile: 53.2, 75th percentile: 64.5, 90th percentile: 74.8.
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