Cincinnati at Arizona -- NCAA Week 5, October 3, 2026.
Model prediction: Arizona favored by 14.7, projected total 53.9 points, 79.8% win probability for Arizona.
Prediction last recalculated September 13, 2026 at 10:03 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -7.5, 25th percentile: +3.2, 50th percentile: +14.9, 75th percentile: +26.8, 90th percentile: +37.2. Total points 10th percentile: 32.4, 25th percentile: 42.8, 50th percentile: 54.3, 75th percentile: 65.5, 90th percentile: 75.6.
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