Western Kentucky at New Mexico State -- NCAA Week 5, October 2, 2026.
Model prediction: Western Kentucky favored by 5.2, projected total 55.2 points, 38.1% win probability for New Mexico State.
Prediction last recalculated September 13, 2026 at 10:03 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -27.0, 25th percentile: -16.7, 50th percentile: -5.2, 75th percentile: +6.3, 90th percentile: +17.1. Total points 10th percentile: 34.0, 25th percentile: 43.9, 50th percentile: 55.2, 75th percentile: 66.3, 90th percentile: 76.0.
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