Oregon State at UTEP -- NCAA Week 4, September 27, 2026.
Model prediction: UTEP favored by 4.5, projected total 44.8 points, 60.3% win probability for UTEP.
Prediction last recalculated September 8, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -18.0, 25th percentile: -7.0, 50th percentile: +4.6, 75th percentile: +16.2, 90th percentile: +27.2. Total points 10th percentile: 23.3, 25th percentile: 33.8, 50th percentile: 44.7, 75th percentile: 56.2, 90th percentile: 66.5.
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