Tulsa at Arkansas -- NCAA Week 4, September 27, 2026.
Model prediction: Arkansas favored by 11.3, projected total 69.0 points, 74.2% win probability for Arkansas.
Prediction last recalculated September 8, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -10.9, 25th percentile: -0.4, 50th percentile: +11.5, 75th percentile: +23.3, 90th percentile: +34.1. Total points 10th percentile: 47.7, 25th percentile: 58.0, 50th percentile: 69.3, 75th percentile: 80.4, 90th percentile: 90.7.
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