Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State -- NCAA Week 4, September 26, 2026.
Model prediction: Jacksonville State favored by 13.1, projected total 51.0 points, 77.2% win probability for Jacksonville State.
Prediction last recalculated September 8, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -8.8, 25th percentile: +1.5, 50th percentile: +13.4, 75th percentile: +25.4, 90th percentile: +35.8. Total points 10th percentile: 29.4, 25th percentile: 39.5, 50th percentile: 51.2, 75th percentile: 62.2, 90th percentile: 72.1.
Read the full plain-text report for this game, including every player prop projection.
See how this prediction is calculated and how accurate the model has been.