New Mexico at New Mexico State -- NCAA Week 4, September 26, 2026.
Model prediction: New Mexico favored by 15.6, projected total 45.6 points, 18.9% win probability for New Mexico State.
Prediction last recalculated September 8, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -37.6, 25th percentile: -26.9, 50th percentile: -15.4, 75th percentile: -3.5, 90th percentile: +7.4. Total points 10th percentile: 23.7, 25th percentile: 34.2, 50th percentile: 45.7, 75th percentile: 56.7, 90th percentile: 66.9.
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