South Alabama at Kentucky -- NCAA Week 4, September 26, 2026.
Model prediction: Kentucky favored by 17.3, projected total 50.6 points, 83.5% win probability for Kentucky.
Prediction last recalculated September 8, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -5.0, 25th percentile: +5.8, 50th percentile: +17.5, 75th percentile: +28.9, 90th percentile: +39.1. Total points 10th percentile: 29.2, 25th percentile: 39.4, 50th percentile: 50.8, 75th percentile: 62.0, 90th percentile: 72.3.
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