Texas at Tennessee -- NCAA Week 4, September 26, 2026.
Model prediction: Texas favored by 4.4, projected total 71.2 points, 39.9% win probability for Tennessee.
Prediction last recalculated September 8, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -26.8, 25th percentile: -16.3, 50th percentile: -4.7, 75th percentile: +6.8, 90th percentile: +17.9. Total points 10th percentile: 49.4, 25th percentile: 59.7, 50th percentile: 71.4, 75th percentile: 82.7, 90th percentile: 92.6.
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