Wake Forest at Louisville -- NCAA Week 4, September 26, 2026.
Model prediction: Louisville favored by 9.1, projected total 50.4 points, 70.1% win probability for Louisville.
Prediction last recalculated September 8, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -12.6, 25th percentile: -2.2, 50th percentile: +9.2, 75th percentile: +21.5, 90th percentile: +32.0. Total points 10th percentile: 28.9, 25th percentile: 39.1, 50th percentile: 50.0, 75th percentile: 61.7, 90th percentile: 72.0.
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