Utah at Iowa State -- NCAA Week 4, September 26, 2026.
Model prediction: Utah favored by 4.5, projected total 59.6 points, 39.7% win probability for Iowa State.
Prediction last recalculated September 8, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -26.7, 25th percentile: -16.2, 50th percentile: -4.3, 75th percentile: +7.4, 90th percentile: +18.1. Total points 10th percentile: 38.7, 25th percentile: 48.6, 50th percentile: 59.8, 75th percentile: 71.0, 90th percentile: 81.3.
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